Stock Market Outlook for June 22, 2022
Key test for the health of the real estate market ahead following the largest May increase to home inventory on record.
*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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Tricon Residential Inc. (TSE:TCN.TO) Seasonal Chart
S.Y. Bancorp, Inc. (NASD:SYBT) Seasonal Chart
Washington Trust Bancorp, Inc. (NASD:WASH) Seasonal Chart
Richardson Electronics, Ltd. (NASD:RELL) Seasonal Chart
Invesco DB Base Metals Fund (NYSE:DBB) Seasonal Chart
The Markets
Stocks rallied to start the holiday shortened week as investors nibbled at beat down names following the selloff that has dominated the first half of the year. The S&P 500 Index closed with a gain of 2.45%, moving back above declining trendline support that was broken last week around 3700. Momentum indicators are showing early hints of curling higher, delivering what could be a positive momentum divergence compared with price, an indication of waning selling pressures. A bullish crossover of MACD and its signal line above the May lows and RSI holding above oversold territory at 30 would confirm. Given how stretched the market has become below major moving averages and with a seasonally favourable timeframe ahead, a bounce has certainly been due, but, of course, the argument that this is just as bear-market rally is certainly justified. Some of the groups that were sold off the most through the first six months of the year rallied the hardest on Tuesday, including Technology and Consumer Discretionary, suggesting that the mean reversion phase of the market is getting underway, something that should help to support stocks through month-end.
Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
- Watching the revelation of a distribution pattern on the hourly chart of the S&P 500 Index
- Downside targets for the S&P 600 Small Cap and S&P 400 Mid-Cap indices have been achieved
- Notable ratings changes in this week’s chart books
- The test of support being realized across market segments
- US Existing Home Sales
- Canada Retail Sales
- Lowest level of the put-call ratio since the start of April
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Sentiment on Tuesday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bullish at 0.85.
Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
S&P 500 Index
TSE Composite
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