Stock Market Outlook for September 25, 2020
Price of natural gas pushing higher as the year-to-date change in inventories converges with seasonal norms.
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*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities.  As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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SNC-Lavalin Group, Inc. (TSE:SNC.TO) Seasonal Chart
Ingredion Inc. (NYSE:INGR) Seasonal Chart
Werner Enterprises, Inc. (NASD:WERN) Seasonal Chart
Peoples Bank (NASD:PBCT) Seasonal Chart
Gibraltar Steel Corp. (NASD:ROCK) Seasonal Chart
Lamar Advertising Co. (NASD:LAMR) Seasonal Chart
Commercial Metals Co. (NYSE:CMC) Seasonal Chart
AAR Corp. (NYSE:AIR) Seasonal Chart
Autoliv, Inc. (NYSE:ALV) Seasonal Chart
XPO Logistics, Inc. (NYSE:XPO) Seasonal Chart
UBS AG (NYSE:UBS) Seasonal Chart
China Fund, Inc. (NYSE:CHN) Seasonal Chart
Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLB) Seasonal Chart
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The Markets
Stocks were choppy on Thursday with the S&P 500 Index trading on either side of the flatline throughout the day. The S&P 500 Index closed with a gain of three-tenths of one percent, struggling to recoup the loss recorded in the prior day’s session. The benchmark continues to hover in this range around 3250, which is the level from which it broke down from back in February. Reaction to this zone continues to be closely monitored. The 50-day moving average remains in a position of resistance overhead, while 100 and 200-day moving averages are being eyed as potential levels of support below at 3201 and 3106, respectively. The 100-day moving average was tested as support at the lows of Thursday’s session, but the bounce from this hurdle to confirm support was less than convincing. Momentum indicators continue to point lower and have yet to show signs of rebounding.
On schedule for the Thursday session, the Energy Information Administration released its tally of natural gas inventories for the week just past. The administration reported that natural gas in storage increased by 66 billion cubic feet (bcf) last week, less than the 89 bcf injection reported in the week prior. Between an average low at the end of July and an average peak around the start of December, the price of natural gas tends to rise as the market prices in the shifting supply and demand dynamics as we enter winter heating season. The price of the commodity recently pulled back from its abrupt rise between the end of July and the end of August and a renewed opportunity to get long the commodity has been presented. Price has achieved a higher intermediate-term low and a trend of higher-highs and higher-lows appears to be underway.Â
Sentiment on Thursday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended neutral at 1.00.
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Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
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S&P 500 Index
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TSE Composite
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