Stock Market Outlook for November 30, 2020
Breakdown of the US Dollar Index and the Volatility Index presenting a good backdrop for risk assets going into the last month of the year.
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*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities.  As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) Seasonal Chart
Precision Drilling Corp. (NYSE:PDS) Seasonal Chart
ProLogis, Inc. (NYSE:PLD) Seasonal Chart
Stryker Corp. (NYSE:SYK) Seasonal Chart
United Technologies Corp. (NYSE:UTX) Seasonal Chart
Applied Materials, Inc. (NASD:AMAT) Seasonal Chart
Eastern Platinum Ltd. (TSE:ELR.TO) Seasonal Chart
RCI Hospitality, Holdings (NASD:RICK) Seasonal Chart
Blackstone Group LP (NYSE:BX) Seasonal Chart
James Hardie Industries NV (NYSE:JHX) Seasonal Chart
Global X Copper Miners ETF (NYSE:COPX) Seasonal Chart
Invesco DB Base Metals Fund (NYSE:DBB) Seasonal Chart
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3x Shares (NYSE:DRN) Seasonal Chart
iShares MSCI EAFE Small-Cap ETF (NASD:SCZ) Seasonal Chart
Interfor Corp. (TSE:IFP.TO) Seasonal Chart
Amerigo Resources Ltd. (TSE:ARG.TO) Seasonal Chart
Toyota Motor Corp. (NYSE:TM) Seasonal Chart
Banco de Chile (NYSE:BCH) Seasonal Chart
Gibson Energy Inc. (TSE:GEI.TO) Seasonal Chart
BMO Long Provincial Bond Index ETF (TSE:ZPL.TO) Seasonal Chart
iShares MSCI Frontier 100 ETF (AMEX:FM) Seasonal Chart
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The Markets
Stocks gained in a quiet holiday session that followed Thanksgiving in the US. The S&P 500 Index added just less than a quarter of one percent, enough to achieve another record closing high. The benchmark continues to hold above the previous 300-point trading range that spanned between 3200 and 3500, which projects upside potential towards 3800. With a gain of 2.27% on the week, the strength that is typical of the Thanksgiving holiday week has certainly materialized, giving seasonal traders something to be thankful for. There is only one more trading session in November, a month that has seen extraordinary gains and an expansion of breadth to the likes that has not been seen in years. We break down what to look out for in the month ahead and how to play it in our monthly outlook that will soon be released to subscribers. Signup now for access to all of our research that we offer to subscribers.
Soon to be released…
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And as stock move higher, the Volatility index (VIX) is coming down from the elevated levels it has held through much of the year. The so-called “fear-gauge†charted the lowest level in over nine months on Friday, continuing to chip away at support presented by February’s upside open gap around 20.
Sentiment on Friday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bullish at 0.74. As for our gauge of institutional sentiment, the Dark Index, a indication of dark pool activity, ticked mildly higher from 41.3% on Wednesday to 41.5% to close the week. Generally, levels 45% or higher indicate buying demand.
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Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
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S&P 500 Index
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TSE Composite
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