Stock Market Outlook for December 11, 2020
MACD Sell signal for stocks, bond prices holding support – Is a bearish shift underway?
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*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities.  As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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Apache Corp. (NYSE:APA) Seasonal Chart
Estee Lauder Cos. (NYSE:EL) Seasonal Chart
Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd. (TSE:TRQ.TO) Seasonal Chart
Brookfield Renewable Energy Partners LP (TSE:BEP/UN.TO) Seasonal Chart
Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSE:TD.TO) Seasonal Chart
IBI Group Inc. (TSE:IBG.TO) Seasonal Chart
Greenbrier Cos, Inc. (NYSE:GBX) Seasonal Chart
Teekay Corp. (NYSE:TK) Seasonal Chart
FLYHT Aerospace Solutions Ltd. (TSXV:FLY.V) Seasonal Chart
iShares Core S&P-TSX Capped Composite Index ETF (TSE:XIC.TO) Seasonal Chart
VanEck Vectors Africa Index ETF (NYSE:AFK) Seasonal Chart
Central and Eastern Europe Fund, Inc. (NYSE:CEE) Seasonal Chart
iShares MSCI Australia ETF (NYSE:EWA) Seasonal Chart
First Trust ISE Global Wind Energy Index Fund (NYSE:FAN) Seasonal Chart
iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (AMEX:IEMG) Seasonal Chart
Invesco International BuyBack Achievers ETF (NASD:IPKW) Seasonal Chart
Ivy High Income Opportunities Fund (NYSE:IVH) Seasonal Chart
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The Markets
Stocks closed mixed on Thursday as investors continue to digest the gains from the past month. The S&P 500 Index slipped by just over a tenth of one percent, continuing to hold levels above the psychologically important 3600 level. At the lows of the session, the large cap-benchmark reached back towards levels around its rising 20-day moving average, now hovering at 3630. As long as this hurdle continues to point higher and acts as support, the positive short-term trend is considered to be firmly intact. Intermediate downside risks are to the 50-day, now at 3512. The breakout of the 300-point trading range between 3200 and 3500 continues to project an upside target of 3800. Momentum indicators have begun to slip, even triggering a sell signal with respect to MACD. As we have been preparing subscribers for, this consolidation/negative bias that is being realized is all too common at this time of year as portfolio managers rebalance their books and/or conduct tax-loss selling transactions before they leave their desk for the end of year holidays in around the end of next week.Â
Bond prices have, so far, been the recent beneficiary of this rotation.
Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
- Jobless claims and what they have to say about the track of the economy
- Natural gas
- The Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the opportunities within the price trends
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Sentiment on Thursday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bullish at 0.70.
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Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
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S&P 500 Index
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TSE Composite
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