Stock Market Outlook for January 20, 2021
Despite the risk-on session on Tuesday, recent action in the market points to signs of risk aversion.
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*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities.  As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (NYSE:UCO) Seasonal Chart
Aston Bay Holdings Ltd. (TSXV:BAY.V) Seasonal Chart
Cincinnati Financial Corp. (NASD:CINF) Seasonal Chart
EQT Corp. (NYSE:EQT) Seasonal Chart
ARC Resources Ltd. (TSE:ARX.TO) Seasonal Chart
Compass Minerals Intl, Inc. (NYSE:CMP) Seasonal Chart
Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE:WFC) Seasonal Chart
Kilroy Realty Corp. (NYSE:KRC) Seasonal Chart
Harsco Corp. (NYSE:HSC) Seasonal Chart
Zumiez Inc. (NASD:ZUMZ) Seasonal Chart
Radiant Logistics Inc. (AMEX:RLGT) Seasonal Chart
Canadian Natural Resources (NYSE:CNQ) Seasonal Chart
United States Brent Oil Fund (NYSE:BNO) Seasonal Chart
Invesco DB Oil Fund (NYSE:DBO) Seasonal Chart
SPDR S&P Bank ETF (NYSE:KBE) Seasonal Chart
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The Markets
Stocks jumped on Tuesday as investors rotated back to risk following comments from Janet Yellen urging lawmakers for another large economic stimulus bill. The S&P 500 Index gained just over eight-tenths of one percent, retouching our forecasted target of 3800 at the high of the session. Support remains readily apparent at the rising 20-day moving average, a variable hurdle that was tested at the lows of Friday’s session. Intermediate downside risks remain to the rising 50-day moving day average around 3675. Momentum indicators continue to negatively diverge from price, an indication of waning buying demand. Energy, technology, and communication services topped the leaderboard, while consumer staples, utilities, and REITs, the core defensive bets, closed in the red in what was clearly a risk-on session.
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Today, in our market outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
- The next sector rotation on our radar
- Treasury Bonds
- Canadian Manufacturing Sales
- Seasonal trade that has consolidated for months and now appears poised to breakout
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Sentiment on Tuesday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bullish at 0.69.
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Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
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S&P 500 Index
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TSE Composite
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