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Stock Market Outlook for April 20, 2021


Evidence of risk aversion continues to grow as investors express their concerns over the rising case count of coronavirus globally.

Real Time Economic Calendar provided by Investing.com.

*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities.   As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.

Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:

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Huntington Bancshares Inc. (NASD:HBAN) Seasonal Chart

Huntington Bancshares Inc. (NASD:HBAN) Seasonal Chart

Unifi, Inc. (NYSE:UFI) Seasonal Chart

Unifi, Inc. (NYSE:UFI) Seasonal Chart

FlexShopper, Inc. (NASD:FPAY) Seasonal Chart

FlexShopper, Inc. (NASD:FPAY) Seasonal Chart

Brightcove, Inc (NASD:BCOV) Seasonal Chart

Brightcove, Inc (NASD:BCOV) Seasonal Chart

CareDx Inc. (NASD:CDNA) Seasonal Chart

CareDx Inc. (NASD:CDNA) Seasonal Chart

PCM Fund (NYSE:PCM) Seasonal Chart

PCM Fund (NYSE:PCM) Seasonal Chart

 

The Markets

Stocks dipped to start the new week amidst concerns relating to the uncontrolled spread of the coronavirus around the globe.  The S&P 500 Index shed just over half of one percent, chipping away at last week’s gain.  The benchmark is showing initial reaction to rising trend-channel resistance that was surpassed at the height of the market last week.  The relative strength index (RSI) just barely triggered a sell signal, crossing out of overbought territory above 70, and MACD continues to converge on its signal line.  Variable support at 20 and 50-day moving averages are now 2.7% and 4.8% below present levels.  A stretched market combined with ballooning fundamental risks to the reopening of the global economy is leaving the broader equity market vulnerable.

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Want to know which areas of the market to buy or sell?  Our Weekly Chart Books have just been updated, providing a clear Accumulate, Avoid, or Neutral rating for currencies, cryptocurrencies, commodities, broad markets, and subsectors/industries of the market.  Subscribers can login and click on the relevant links to access.

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Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:

  • The downfall of industry groups within the consumer discretionary sector and what it says about investor sentiment
  • Gold Miners and when to play them
  • Small-cap and Mid-cap stocks
  • Bitcoin and why we are downgrading our view of the cryptocurrency after an over 300% gain since we upgraded the asset to Accumulate in October.

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Sentiment on Monday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bullish at 0.84.

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Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:

Johnson & Johnson Seasonal Chart Procter & Gamble Company (The) Seasonal Chart Netflix, Inc. Seasonal Chart Abbott Laboratories Seasonal Chart Philip Morris International Inc Seasonal Chart Lockheed Martin Corporation Seasonal Chart Intuitive Surgical, Inc. Seasonal Chart CSX Corporation Seasonal Chart Edwards Lifesciences Corporation Seasonal Chart The Travelers Companies, Inc. Seasonal Chart Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. Seasonal Chart Fifth Third Bancorp Seasonal Chart New Oriental Education & Technology Group, Inc. Seasonal Chart Northern Trust Corporation Seasonal Chart Dover Corporation Seasonal Chart KeyCorp Seasonal Chart Omnicom Group Inc. Seasonal Chart W.R. Berkley Corporation Seasonal Chart Comerica Incorporated Seasonal Chart AutoNation, Inc. Seasonal Chart Synovus Financial Corp. Seasonal Chart Harley-Davidson, Inc. Seasonal Chart ManpowerGroup Seasonal Chart Tenet Healthcare Corporation Seasonal Chart Iridium Communications Inc Seasonal Chart Webster Financial Corporation Seasonal Chart Xerox Holdings Corporation Seasonal Chart Hancock Whitney Corporation Seasonal Chart Badger Meter, Inc. Seasonal Chart

 

S&P 500 Index

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TSE Composite

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