Stock Market Outlook for October 15, 2021
Oil inventories are on the rise for the first time since February, but with upbeat demand and the return to pre-hurricane levels of production of Oil, we see no reason for concern.
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*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities.  As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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Mattel, Inc. (NASD:MAT) Seasonal Chart
Pinnacle West Cap Corp. (NYSE:PNW) Seasonal Chart
Waters Corp. (NYSE:WAT) Seasonal Chart
Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) Seasonal Chart
Commerce Bancshares, Inc. (NASD:CBSH) Seasonal Chart
Acuity Brands, Inc. (NYSE:AYI) Seasonal Chart
Metlife, Inc. (NYSE:MET) Seasonal Chart
AdvisorShares DoubleLine Value Equity ETF (AMEX:DBLV) Seasonal Chart
Carnival Corp. (NYSE:CCL) Seasonal Chart
National Bank of Canada (TSE:NA.TO) Seasonal Chart
Stantec, Inc. (TSE:STN.TO) Seasonal Chart
Toromont Industries Ltd. (TSE:TIH.TO) Seasonal Chart
Cathedral Energy Services Ltd. (TSE:CET.TO) Seasonal Chart
Rollins, Inc. (NYSE:ROL) Seasonal Chart
Sun Life Financial Services of Canada, Inc. (TSE:SLF.TO) Seasonal Chart
Vanguard S&P 500 Index ETF (TSE:VFV.TO) Seasonal Chart
iShares U.S. Financial Services ETF (NYSE:IYG) Seasonal Chart
Invesco KBW Bank ETF (NASD:KBWB) Seasonal Chart
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The Markets
Stocks jumped on Thursday as investors digested stronger than expected earnings reports and received better than expected data on the economy. The S&P 500 Index closed with a gain of 1.71%, gapping above its 20-day moving average in the process. A short-term head-and-shoulders bottoming pattern can be observed on the chart as the short-term path of lower-highs and lower-lows from the past month and a half is definitively broken. Subscribers following our model portfolio are benefitting handsomely following allocations enacted around the end of September.
Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
- Hourly look at the large-cap benchmark and the theoretical target of the short-term bottoming pattern
- Weekly jobless claims and the health of the labor market
- Natural gas inventories and our view of how you should be exposed to the commodity
- Petroleum inventories: How we are benefiting from the strength in the energy sector and the target for the price of Oil
- Canada Manufacturing Sales and the ETFs that are poised to benefit
- Institutional sentiment
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Sentiment on Thursday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bullish at 0.83.
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Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
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S&P 500 Index
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TSE Composite
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