Stock Market Outlook for October 22, 2021
Existing home sales in the US actually fell by 4.9% in September, but there was a lot to be encouraged by in the results released by the National Association of Realtors.
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*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities.  As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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Eaton Corp. (NYSE:ETN) Seasonal Chart
Salesforce.com, Inc. (NYSE:CRM) Seasonal Chart
Host Hotels & Resorts Inc. (NYSE:HST) Seasonal Chart
Blackrock, Inc. (NYSE:BLK) Seasonal Chart
MKS Instruments, Inc. (NASD:MKSI) Seasonal Chart
Invesco S&P SmallCap Information Technology ETF (NASD:PSCT) Seasonal Chart
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Technology ETF (NYSE:RYT) Seasonal Chart
First Trust Cloud Computing ETF (NASD:SKYY) Seasonal Chart
SPDR Portfolio S&P 1500 Composite Stock Market ETF (AMEX:SPTM) Seasonal Chart
Johnson Controls Intl plc (NYSE:JCI) Seasonal Chart
Reliance Steel & Aluminum (NYSE:RS) Seasonal Chart
Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. (NYSE:THG) Seasonal Chart
Buckle, Inc. (NYSE:BKE) Seasonal Chart
Badger Meter, Inc. (NYSE:BMI) Seasonal Chart
USA Truck, Inc. (NASD:USAK) Seasonal Chart
Open Text Corp. (NASD:OTEX) Seasonal Chart
Burlington Stores, Inc. (NYSE:BURL) Seasonal Chart
Vanguard S&P Mid-Cap 400 ETF (NYSE:IVOO) Seasonal Chart
Invesco S&P 500 Pure Value ETF (NYSE:RPV) Seasonal Chart
Vanguard Materials ETF (NYSE:VAW) Seasonal Chart
SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (NYSE:XSD) Seasonal Chart
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The Markets
Stocks continued their relentless rise on Thursday as earnings enthusiasm keeps equity markets on an upward tilt. The S&P 500 Index tacked on an additional three-tenths of one percent after meandering around the flat-line through much of the session. The gain was enough to achieve a fresh record high as the losses that were recorded in September are completely wiped out. The benchmark is closing in on previous trendline support, which we’ll be monitoring for signs of resistance, but this is likely to not be a hurdle to be concerned of. The upside target of the short-term head-and-shoulders patterns points to 4575, which is now just 25 points above present levels. The previous neckline to the short-term bottoming pattern, as well as the 50-day moving average, around 4444 is the logical level of support beneath this market. As long as we hold above this hurdle, reason to constructive in favourable seasonal plays exist. Momentum indicators have moved back into the upper half of their ranges, characteristic of a bullish trend.
Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
- The pullback in copper and copper miners
- Weekly jobless claims and the health of the labor market
- Natural gas inventories and how we are playing the commodity at this point in its period of seasonal strength
- US Existing Home Sales and the stocks of the home builders
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Sentiment on Thursday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bullish at 0.75.
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Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
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S&P 500 Index
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TSE Composite
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