Stock Market Outlook for January 10, 2022
A weak start to the year doesn’t necessarily mean that further losses are a given.
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*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities.  As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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ETFIS Series Trust I Reaves Utilities ETF (AMEX:UTES) Seasonal Chart
Gap, Inc. (NYSE:GPS) Seasonal Chart
Kohls Corp. (NYSE:KSS) Seasonal Chart
Cinemark Holdings Corp. (NYSE:CNK) Seasonal Chart
Owens & Minor Inc. Holding Co. (NYSE:OMI) Seasonal Chart
True Blue Inc. (NYSE:TBI) Seasonal Chart
Invesco Water Resources ETF (NASD:PHO) Seasonal Chart
Power Corp. Of Canada (TSE:POW.TO) Seasonal Chart
Thomson Reuters Corp. (NYSE:TRI) Seasonal Chart
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The Markets
Stocks closed lower to end the week as the selloff in the technology sector continued. The S&P 500 Index lost four-tenths of one percent, closing around the rising 50-day moving average that hovers at 4674. Momentum indicators continue to rollover as the relative strength index (RSI) moves back below its middle line. Both MACD and RSI are showing a negative divergences versus price, failing to confirm December’s breakout above resistance at 4720. The intermediate-term trend is still that of higher-highs and higher-lows, but with the rising 50-day moving average being pressured, this path is certainly at risk. The fact that the benchmark closed around the lows of the week doesn’t instil any confidence that the selloff to start the year is over.
Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
- The major negative divergence on the weekly chart of the S&P 500 Index
- Waning bullish enthusiasm of investment managers
- “As goes January, so goes the year”
- Best December growth for US payrolls since 1999
- Wages and the inflationary backdrop in the economy
- Canada Labour Force Survey and the breakdown of what is driving the aggregate result
- The Canadian Dollar
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Sentiment on Friday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended close to neutral at 0.96.
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Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
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S&P 500 Index
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TSE Composite
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