Stock Market Outlook for January 31, 2023

Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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Century Communities, Inc. (NYSE:CCS) Seasonal Chart

Ero Copper Corp. (NYSE:ERO) Seasonal Chart

SPDR S&P Insurance ETF (NYSE:KIE) Seasonal Chart

Intl Flavors & Fragrances (NYSE:IFF) Seasonal Chart

Tourmaline Oil Corp. (TSE:TOU.TO) Seasonal Chart

Zoetis Inc. (NYSE:ZTS) Seasonal Chart

Teledyne Technologies (NYSE:TDY) Seasonal Chart

Polaris Inds, Inc. (NYSE:PII) Seasonal Chart

Tyson Foods Inc Cl A (NYSE:TSN) Seasonal Chart
The Markets
Stocks dipped on Monday as investors took down some risk ahead of the FOMC meeting on Tuesday/Wednesday. The S&P 500 Index ended the session with a loss of 1.30%, peeling back towards declining trendline resistance that was broken in the past week. Horizontal resistance at the December high of 4100 remains intact, keeping the trajectory of lower-highs from the past year intact. Momentum indicators are showing early signs of rolling over below declining trendline resistance in what has become a narrowing range over a number of months, defining a rather neutral momentum backdrop. The 50-day moving average seems poised to cross above its declining 200-day moving average in what is referred to as a golden cross, but, as has been pointed out in recent reports, the timeliness of this technical event as an immediate buy or sell indicator is typically quite poor, implying that buying the near-term crossover may be inopportune. Seasonally, stocks remain in a soft period into the start of March.
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Sentiment on Monday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bullish at 0.91.Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
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- Ratings changes in this week’s chart books
- Our list of segments of the market to Accumulate or Avoid
- Defensive sectors showing some of the worst charts
- Breakout of the High-Beta ETF (SPHB)
- Logical point for a risk-aversion move to materialize



































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