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Stock Market Outlook for October 24, 2023

Commodity prices showing a strengthening trend, but can the asset class overcome the seasonal headwinds that are normal over the next month and a half?

Real Time Economic Calendar provided by Investing.com.

 

 

*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities.   As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.

Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:

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iShares Semiconductor ETF (NASD:SOXX) Seasonal Chart

iShares Semiconductor ETF (NASD:SOXX) Seasonal Chart

iShares Edge MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF (AMEX:IVLU) Seasonal Chart

iShares Edge MSCI Intl Value Factor ETF (AMEX:IVLU) Seasonal Chart

SPDR S&P 500 Value ETF (NYSE:SPYV) Seasonal Chart

SPDR S&P 500 Value ETF (NYSE:SPYV) Seasonal Chart

Bristol Myers Squibb Co. (NYSE:BMY) Seasonal Chart

Bristol Myers Squibb Co. (NYSE:BMY) Seasonal Chart

Enanta Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASD:ENTA) Seasonal Chart

Enanta Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASD:ENTA) Seasonal Chart

FS Bancorp, Inc. (NASD:FSBW) Seasonal Chart

FS Bancorp, Inc. (NASD:FSBW) Seasonal Chart

Bankunited Inc. (NYSE:BKU) Seasonal Chart

Bankunited Inc. (NYSE:BKU) Seasonal Chart

Cogeco, Inc. (TSE:CGO.TO) Seasonal Chart

Cogeco, Inc. (TSE:CGO.TO) Seasonal Chart

Telefonica Brasil SA (NYSE:VIV) Seasonal Chart

Telefonica Brasil SA (NYSE:VIV) Seasonal Chart

Benchmark Electronics Inc. (NYSE:BHE) Seasonal Chart

Benchmark Electronics Inc. (NYSE:BHE) Seasonal Chart

United Therapeutics Corp. (NASD:UTHR) Seasonal Chart

United Therapeutics Corp. (NASD:UTHR) Seasonal Chart

Dillards Inc (NYSE:DDS) Seasonal Chart

Dillards Inc (NYSE:DDS) Seasonal Chart

 

The Markets

Stocks struggled to hold onto gains on Monday, despite a reprieve in the rise of interest rates following comments from recent bond bear Bill Ackman, who noted that he covered his shorts against the asset class. The S&P 500 Index closed down by two-tenths of one percent, ending for a second day below the important 200-day moving average.  The horizontal band of support between 4100 and 4200 remains intact below, but a battle is playing out for market control between the bullish and bearish camps.  The short-term trend remains that of lower-highs and lower-lows, remaining a threat heading into the band of support and as the market enters the best six months of the year performance.  Scrutiny of the 4200 hurdle remains warranted; below this level the argument of favourable risk-reward heading into the end of the year shifts more in favour of the bears.

Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:

  • Momentum divergences in treasury yields and bond prices
  • Our weekly chart books update along with our list of market segments to Accumulate and to Avoid
  • The action we are taking in the Super Simple Seasonal Portfolio
  • Bitcoin

Subscribers can look for this report in their inbox or by clicking on the following link and logging in: Market Outlook for October 24

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Want to know which areas of the market to buy or sell?  Our Weekly Chart Books have just been updated, providing a clear Accumulate, Avoid, or Neutral rating for currencies, cryptocurrencies, commodities, broad markets, and subsectors/industries of the market.  Subscribers can login and click on the relevant links to access.

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Sentiment on Monday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended slightly bullish at 0.92.

 

 

Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:

Microsoft Corporation Seasonal Chart Alphabet Inc. Seasonal Chart Alphabet Inc. Seasonal Chart Visa Inc. Seasonal Chart Coca-Cola Company (The) Seasonal Chart Novartis AG Seasonal Chart Danaher Corporation Seasonal Chart Texas Instruments Incorporated Seasonal Chart Verizon Communications Inc. Seasonal Chart General Electric Company Seasonal Chart Barclays PLC Seasonal Chart RTX Corporation Seasonal Chart NextEra Energy, Inc. Seasonal Chart Chubb Limited Seasonal Chart Canadian National Railway Company Seasonal Chart Illinois Tool Works Inc. Seasonal Chart Fiserv, Inc. Seasonal Chart HCA Healthcare, Inc. Seasonal Chart Waste Management, Inc. Seasonal Chart Sherwin-Williams Company (The) Seasonal Chart 3M Company Seasonal Chart PACCAR Inc. Seasonal Chart Kimberly-Clark Corporation Seasonal Chart General Motors Company Seasonal Chart Archer-Daniels-Midland Company Seasonal Chart Centene Corporation Seasonal Chart Halliburton Company Seasonal Chart Nucor Corporation Seasonal Chart CoStar Group, Inc. Seasonal Chart Corning Incorporated Seasonal Chart Teck Resources Ltd Seasonal Chart Dover Corporation Seasonal Chart KB Financial Group Inc Seasonal Chart Snap Inc. Seasonal Chart PulteGroup, Inc. Seasonal Chart Quest Diagnostics Incorporated Seasonal Chart TransUnion Seasonal Chart Synchrony Financial Seasonal Chart Manhattan Associates, Inc. Seasonal Chart Ares Capital Corporation Seasonal Chart Pentair plc. Seasonal Chart F5, Inc. Seasonal Chart Range Resources Corporation Seasonal Chart Robert Half Inc. Seasonal Chart Matador Resources Company Seasonal Chart

 

S&P 500 Index

 

TSE Composite

 

 

 

 

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