Stock Market Outlook for January 12, 2024
The percentage rise in Continued Jobless Claims last year was the highest on record for a period not defined as a recession.
*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Plc (NASD:CCEP) Seasonal Chart
Booking Holdings Inc. (NASD:BKNG) Seasonal Chart
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (NASD:KDP) Seasonal Chart
ONE Gas Inc. (NYSE:OGS) Seasonal Chart
iShares S&P/TSX Capped Utilities Index ETF (TSE:XUT.TO) Seasonal Chart
BMO Low Volatility Canadian Equity ETF (TSE:ZLB.TO) Seasonal Chart
iShares Cohen & Steers REIT ETF (NYSE:ICF) Seasonal Chart
SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (NYSE:RWR) Seasonal Chart
Coterra Energy Inc. (NYSE:CTRA) Seasonal Chart
TMX Group Inc. (TSE:X.TO) Seasonal Chart
Marsh and McLennan Co. (NYSE:MMC) Seasonal Chart
Sempra Energy (NYSE:SRE) Seasonal Chart
CCL Industries Inc. – Class B (TSE:CCL/B.TO) Seasonal Chart
Pembina Pipeline Corp. (TSE:PPL.TO) Seasonal Chart
Realty Income Corp. (NYSE:O) Seasonal Chart
Kohls Corp. (NYSE:KSS) Seasonal Chart
Enbridge, Inc. (NYSE:ENB) Seasonal Chart
The Markets
Stocks closed rather flat on Thursday following the release of a hotter than expected read of inflation for the month of December. The S&P 500 Index closed down by just less than a tenth of one percent, continuing to hold between significant horizontal resistance at 4800 and short-term support at the rising 20-day moving average at 4744. Major moving averages continue to fan out and momentum indicators are holding above their middle lines, both characteristics of a bullish trend. Investors are seemingly just waiting for a bullish catalyst to fuel a breakout above the 4800 hurdle that has capped the benchmark for the past two years; without one, this muddling below the all-time peak could persist.
Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
- US Consumer Price Index (CPI)
- Treasury bond prices rebounding from support
- The outsized moves in Utilities and REITs on Thursday and the potential opportunity ahead
- Weekly Jobless Claims and the health of the labor market
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Sentiment on Thursday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended slightly bearish at 1.06.
Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
S&P 500 Index
TSE Composite
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