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Stock Market Outlook for July 22, 2024

Ratio of High-Beta versus Low Volatility testing long-term horizontal resistance, a critical juncture for risk sentiment in this market.

Real Time Economic Calendar provided by Investing.com.

 

 

*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.

Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:

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iShares Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF (NASD:IGIB) Seasonal Chart

iShares Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF (NASD:IGIB) Seasonal Chart

Fortive Corp. (NYSE:FTV) Seasonal Chart

Fortive Corp. (NYSE:FTV) Seasonal Chart

BMO Mid Federal Bond Index ETF (TSE:ZFM.TO) Seasonal Chart

BMO Mid Federal Bond Index ETF (TSE:ZFM.TO) Seasonal Chart

iShares Canadian Universe Bond Index ETF (TSE:XBB.TO) Seasonal Chart

iShares Canadian Universe Bond Index ETF (TSE:XBB.TO) Seasonal Chart

Tennessee Valley Authorit (NYSE:TVE) Seasonal Chart

Tennessee Valley Authorit (NYSE:TVE) Seasonal Chart

Graham Corp. (NYSE:GHM) Seasonal Chart

Graham Corp. (NYSE:GHM) Seasonal Chart

WisdomTree Bloomberg US Dollar Bullish Fund (AMEX:USDU) Seasonal Chart

WisdomTree Bloomberg US Dollar Bullish Fund (AMEX:USDU) Seasonal Chart

Vanguard Total International Bond ETF (NASD:BNDX) Seasonal Chart

Vanguard Total International Bond ETF (NASD:BNDX) Seasonal Chart

BMO Aggregate Bond Index ETF (TSE:ZAG.TO) Seasonal Chart

BMO Aggregate Bond Index ETF (TSE:ZAG.TO) Seasonal Chart

iShares Core High Quality Canadian Bond Index ETF (TSE:XQB.TO) Seasonal Chart

iShares Core High Quality Canadian Bond Index ETF (TSE:XQB.TO) Seasonal Chart

SkyWest, Inc. (NASD:SKYW) Seasonal Chart

SkyWest, Inc. (NASD:SKYW) Seasonal Chart

Parkland Fuel Corp. (TSE:PKI.TO) Seasonal Chart

Parkland Fuel Corp. (TSE:PKI.TO) Seasonal Chart

Autodesk, Inc. (NASD:ADSK) Seasonal Chart

Autodesk, Inc. (NASD:ADSK) Seasonal Chart

IQ Merger Arbitrage ETF (NYSE:MNA) Seasonal Chart

IQ Merger Arbitrage ETF (NYSE:MNA) Seasonal Chart

BMO S&P/TSX Equal Weight Banks Index ETF (TSE:ZEB.TO) Seasonal Chart

BMO S&P/TSX Equal Weight Banks Index ETF (TSE:ZEB.TO) Seasonal Chart

Assurant Inc. (NYSE:AIZ) Seasonal Chart

Assurant Inc. (NYSE:AIZ) Seasonal Chart

BMO Covered Call Canadian Banks ETF (TSE:ZWB.TO) Seasonal Chart

BMO Covered Call Canadian Banks ETF (TSE:ZWB.TO) Seasonal Chart

 

The Markets

Stocks remained unsettled into the end of the week now that the average peak to the summer rally has past.  The S&P 500 Index closed Friday’s session with a loss of just over seven-tenths of one percent, ending below the 20-day moving average (5540) for the first time since May.  A short-term downside gap remains open between 5622 and 5658, a zone that will act as the cap to the summer rally that has now past its average peak.  Major moving averages continue to fan out positively, but any pressuring of these zones as support could shift this bullish characteristic through the months ahead.  Wednesday’s abrupt downturn has pulled the Relative Strength Index (RSI) out of overbought territory to now sit at the lowest level in a month and a half, suggesting a near-term peak to this momentum indicator and providing a near-term signal to sell as we head towards the most volatile period on the calendar in August, September, and October.   The time is here to prepare portfolio strategy for the period of volatility for stocks that runs through the next three months.

Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:

  • Weekly look at the large-cap benchmark and the potential divergence that is materializing
  • The abrupt selloff of Copper
  • High Beta over Low Volatility
  • The evolving decline of liquidity available to the market
  • Canadian Retail Sales

Subscribers can look for this report in their inbox or by clicking on the following link and logging in: Market Outlook for July 22

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Sentiment on Friday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bullish at 0.83.

 

Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:

SAP SE Seasonal Chart Verizon Communications Inc. Seasonal Chart Ryanair Holdings plc Seasonal Chart Cadence Design Systems, Inc. Seasonal Chart NXP Semiconductors N.V. Seasonal Chart Truist Financial Corporation Seasonal Chart IQVIA Holdings, Inc. Seasonal Chart Nucor Corporation Seasonal Chart Brown & Brown, Inc. Seasonal Chart Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. Seasonal Chart W.R. Berkley Corporation Seasonal Chart Logitech International S.A. Seasonal Chart Medpace Holdings, Inc. Seasonal Chart Equity Lifestyle Properties, Inc. Seasonal Chart Crown Holdings, Inc. Seasonal Chart Simpson Manufacturing Company, Inc. Seasonal Chart AGNC Investment Corp. Seasonal Chart Zions Bancorporation N.A. Seasonal Chart Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. Seasonal Chart BOK Financial Corporation Seasonal Chart RLI Corp. Seasonal Chart Cadence Bank Seasonal Chart Cathay General Bancorp Seasonal Chart Agilysys, Inc. Seasonal Chart Bank of Hawaii Corporation Seasonal Chart Calix, Inc Seasonal Chart NBT Bancorp Inc. Seasonal Chart Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited (The) Seasonal Chart Enterprise Financial Services Corporation Seasonal Chart HealthStream, Inc. Seasonal Chart Dynex Capital, Inc. Seasonal Chart KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. Seasonal Chart TrustCo Bank Corp NY Seasonal Chart Washington Trust Bancorp, Inc. Seasonal Chart Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. Seasonal Chart

 

 

S&P 500 Index

 

TSE Composite

 

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