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Stock Market Outlook for October 16, 2024

Interest rate sensitive segments have pulled back and are now showing positive reaction to levels of rising trendline support.

Real Time Economic Calendar provided by Investing.com.

 

 

*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.

Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:

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WSP Global Inc. (TSE:WSP.TO) Seasonal Chart

WSP Global Inc. (TSE:WSP.TO) Seasonal Chart

Hawaiian Electric Industries Inc. (NYSE:HE) Seasonal Chart

Hawaiian Electric Industries Inc. (NYSE:HE) Seasonal Chart

Spirit Airlines, Inc. (NYSE:SAVE) Seasonal Chart

Spirit Airlines, Inc. (NYSE:SAVE) Seasonal Chart

SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (NYSE:XAR) Seasonal Chart

SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (NYSE:XAR) Seasonal Chart

Alient Inc. (NASD:ALNT) Seasonal Chart

Alient Inc. (NASD:ALNT) Seasonal Chart

Pacer US Export Leaders ETF (AMEX:PEXL) Seasonal Chart

Pacer US Export Leaders ETF (AMEX:PEXL) Seasonal Chart

 

The Markets

Stocks slipped on Tuesday amidst a wobble that surrounded the reaction to earnings season, which continues to become busier by the day.  The S&P 500 Index closed down by around three-quarters of one percent, erasing the gain that was achieved in the slower Columbus Day holiday session on Monday.  Support continues to be pinned at previous resistance of 5669, along with the 20-day moving average that is hovering around 5741. Despite evidence of waning upside momentum within this tail-end to the period of seasonal volatility for stocks, this market is showing greater evidence of support than resistance, a characteristic of a bullish trend.  We continue to like the groups that are on our list of Accumulate candidates, but there are certainly segments of the market to Avoid.  The ability of the market, as a whole, to overcome the period of seasonal weakness for stocks rather unscathed is certainly telling of the relentless demand, despite the fact that the risk-reward, broadly, is not very attractive.  The start of the best six months of the year for stocks is around three weeks away and there is a need from a seasonal perspective to ramp up risk exposure at some point.

Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:

  • Bond prices rebounding from rising trendline support and the action we are taking in the Super Simple Seasonal Portfolio
  • Our Weekly Chart Books update, along with our list of all segments of the market to either Accumulate or Avoid
  • Other Notes
  • Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI)
  • Canadian Dollar

Subscribers can look for this report in their inbox or by clicking on the following link and logging in: Market Outlook for October 16

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Want to know which areas of the market to buy or sell?  Our Weekly Chart Books have just been updated, providing a clear Accumulate, Avoid, or Neutral rating for currencies, cryptocurrencies, commodities, broad markets, and subsectors/industries of the market.  Subscribers can login and click on the relevant links to access.

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Sentiment on Tuesday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bullish at 0.88.

 

 

 

Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:

Kinder Morgan Seasonal Chart Abbott Laboratories Seasonal Chart CSX Seasonal Chart Alcoa Seasonal Chart Synchrony Financial Seasonal Chart U.S. Bancorp Seasonal Chart Crown Castle Inc. Seasonal Chart Citizens Financial Group Seasonal Chart Discover Financial Services Seasonal Chart Steel Dynamics Seasonal Chart PPG Industries Seasonal Chart ASML Holding Seasonal Chart Martin Midstream Partners Seasonal Chart Prologis Seasonal Chart Synovus Financial Seasonal Chart Equifax Seasonal Chart Rexford Industrial Realty Seasonal Chart First Horizon Seasonal Chart First Industrial Realty Trust Seasonal Chart Home BancShares Seasonal Chart Cohen & Steers Seasonal Chart SL Green Realty Seasonal Chart Liberty Energy Seasonal Chart Banner Seasonal Chart OFG Bancorp Seasonal Chart Triumph Financial, Inc. Seasonal Chart Old Second Bancorp Seasonal Chart Great Southern Bancorp Seasonal Chart First Community Seasonal Chart

 

S&P 500 Index

 

TSE Composite

 

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