Stock Market Outlook for November 18, 2024
Consumer activity perked up in October, but discretionary spending was not the focus.
*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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WisdomTree International Quality Dividend Growth Fund (AMEX:IQDG) Seasonal Chart
Snap Inc. (NYSE:SNAP) Seasonal Chart
ECN Capital Corp. (TSE:ECN.TO) Seasonal Chart
iShares MSCI Finland Capped ETF (AMEX:EFNL) Seasonal Chart
Global X SuperDividend ETF (AMEX:SDIV) Seasonal Chart
BMO Government Bond Index ETF (TSE:ZGB.TO) Seasonal Chart
Vanguard Balanced ETF Portfolio (TSE:VBAL.TO) Seasonal Chart
SeaWorld Entertainment, Inc. (NYSE:SEAS) Seasonal Chart
Nutrien Ltd. (TSE:NTR.TO) Seasonal Chart
K-Bro Linen Inc. (TSE:KBL.TO) Seasonal Chart
Northwest Healthcare Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE:NWH/UN.TO) Seasonal Chart
Interfor Corp. (TSE:IFP.TO) Seasonal Chart
Superior Plus Corp. (TSE:SPB.TO) Seasonal Chart
iShares Emerging Markets Local Currency Bond ETF (AMEX:LEMB) Seasonal Chart
First Solar Inc. (NASD:FSLR) Seasonal Chart
Radware Ltd. (NASD:RDWR) Seasonal Chart
Taseko Mines Ltd. (TSE:TKO.TO) Seasonal Chart
iShares Russell Mid-Cap Value ETF (NYSE:IWS) Seasonal Chart
Portland General Electric Co. (NYSE:POR) Seasonal Chart
Interpublic Grp Of Cos (NYSE:IPG) Seasonal Chart
Barrick Gold Corp. (TSE:ABX.TO) Seasonal Chart
CGI Group, Inc. (TSE:GIB/A.TO) Seasonal Chart
Smith and Nephew PLC (NYSE:SNN) Seasonal Chart
Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASD:CSCO) Seasonal Chart
The Markets
Concerns over Donald Trump’s nominations for members of his cabinet took a toll on stocks on Friday, causing an alleviation of some of the post election rally in the market. The S&P 500 Index closed down by 1.32%, moving down from the important psychological threshold and the year-end target of many analysts at 6000. Support at the 20-day moving average is being tested (5860), along with gap support that was opened over a week ago between 5783 and 5864, a zone that was reasonable to be filled before the march higher aligned with seasonal norms continues around the US Thanksgiving holiday. On a intermediate-term scale, there remains greater evidence of support than resistance, presenting characteristics of a bullish trend that remains enticing for the strength that is normally realized in the market at year-end. MACD has curled higher above its middle line following the surge in prices in recent weeks, reconfirming characteristics of a bullish trend. We continue to like how our list of candidates in the market to Accumulate and to Avoid is positioned, but we are cognizant of changing market dynamics as revelations pertaining to Trump’s initiatives become apparent and as dollar/rate headwinds grow. We will be scrutinizing whether any changes are required in the days/weeks ahead as the price action evolves.
Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
- Weekly look at the large-cap benchmark
- The downfall of Health Care stocks
- Price action in the Semiconductor industry presenting concern
- US Retail Sales
- The above average injection into retail inventories heading into the end of the year
- Visa Spending Momentum Index and the diverging paths of discretionary and non-discretionary activity
- Retail industry ETF pressuring the upper limit of its prevailing trading range at an important time of year for price performance
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Sentiment on Friday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended close to neutral at 0.94.
Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
S&P 500 Index
TSE Composite
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