Stock Market Outlook for June 12, 2025
The report on Consumer Prices tells the story of where to invest in the uncertain market and economy.
*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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Radcom Ltd. (NASD:RDCM) Seasonal Chart
Green bridge Metals Corp. (CSE:GRBM.CA) Seasonal Chart
The Markets
Stocks slipped on Wednesday as investors reacted to the rather benign developments stemming from trade negotiations between the US and China and as the normal digestion of gains into the the end of the second quarter showed hints of getting underway. The S&P 500 Index closed down by just over a quarter of one percent, continuing to gyrate in the band of resistance between 5900 and 6100. While the 50-hour moving average is no longer enticing the type of buying demand that has been observed over the past couple of months, the large-cap benchmark has still managed to hold this ultra short-term hurdle as support in recent days. Looking forward, a digestive period heading into the end of the second quarter before the summer rally period in July gets underway at the end of this month is our base case. The first of the two timeframes that account for the bulk of the weakness for the offseason for stocks is directly ahead running from June 14th to June 27th (see our Monthly Outlook for June), therefore adding new risk exposure ahead of this period may not be opportune. Our list of candidates in the market that are worthy to Accumulate or Avoid remains appropriately positioned, keeping investors tuned into those segments of the market that are working, while highlighting those groups that are not.
Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
- US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the investment implications within
- Trend of bond yields continues to contradict seasonal norms and our preferred bets in the fixed income universe
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Sentiment on Wednesday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bullish at 0.78.
Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
S&P 500 Index
TSE Composite
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