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Stock Market Outlook for July 2, 2025

The summer rally period is upon us.

Real Time Economic Calendar provided by Investing.com.

 

 

*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.

Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:

Subscribers Click on the relevant link to view the full profile. Not a subscriber? Signup here.

Consolidated Edison, Inc. (NYSE:ED) Seasonal Chart

Consolidated Edison, Inc. (NYSE:ED) Seasonal Chart

Silver Spruce Resources, Inc.  (TSXV:SSE.V) Seasonal Chart

Silver Spruce Resources, Inc. (TSXV:SSE.V) Seasonal Chart

Dayforce Inc. (TSE:DAY.TO) Seasonal Chart

Dayforce Inc. (TSE:DAY.TO) Seasonal Chart

Richelieu Hardware Ltd. (TSE:RCH.TO) Seasonal Chart

Richelieu Hardware Ltd. (TSE:RCH.TO) Seasonal Chart

Aurora Cannabis Inc. (NASD:ACB) Seasonal Chart

Aurora Cannabis Inc. (NASD:ACB) Seasonal Chart

Lending Club Corp. (NYSE:LC) Seasonal Chart

Lending Club Corp. (NYSE:LC) Seasonal Chart

 

Note: July 1st is Canada Day and therefore our next report will be released on Wednesday, July 2nd.  Happy Canada Day to our Canadian readers!

 

The Markets

Stocks ended higher on Monday as the positivity attributed to the notorious summer rally period draws traders into the market before many step away from their desks this week (eg. Canada Day and Independence day holidays).   The S&P 500 Index closed higher by just over half of one percent, closing at a fresh all-time.  The upside gap around 6025 that was recorded last Tuesday plots a point of support to shoot positive bets against as we get through the start of the summer rally period that tends to see investors buy into the equity market beginning on the 27th of June, on average.  Support at the 20-day moving average (6030) was confirmed last week, a variable hurdle that has been unviolated throughout the bull-market rally from the April lows.  Our list of candidates in the market that are worthy to Accumulate or Avoid continues to be appropriately positioned, keeping investors tuned into those segments of the market that are working in such areas as in the Technology, Communication Services, Financials, and Utilities sectors.

Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:

  • Monthly look at the large-cap benchmark
  • Our weekly chart books update, along with our list of all segments of the market to either Accumulate or Avoid
  • Other Notes

Subscribers can look for this report in their inbox or by clicking on the following link and logging in: Market Outlook for July 2

Not signed up yet?  Subscribe now to receive full access to all of the research and analysis that we publish

 

Want to know which areas of the market to buy or sell?  Our Weekly Chart Books have just been updated, providing a clear Accumulate, Avoid, or Neutral rating for currencies, cryptocurrencies, commodities, broad markets, and subsectors/industries of the market.  Subscribers can login and click on the relevant links to access.

Subscribe now.

Sentiment on Monday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bullish at

 

Just Released…

Our monthly report for July is out, providing you with everything that you need to know to navigate the market through the month(s) ahead.

Highlights in this report include:

  • Equity market tendencies in the month of July
  • Trading the period of seasonal volatility ahead
  • Gold
  • The Summer Rally
  • Banks entering their period of seasonal strength with a positive technical setup
  • Canadian Banks
  • Insuring your portfolio against third quarter volatility
  • Streaming pricing power
  • No vacancy for these stocks in portfolios
  • Tight Yield Spreads
  • Bond market firming support heading into a seasonally strong period
  • Opportunities outside of the US
  • Looking to defend against third quarter equity market volatility with Defense
  • Looking at the periphery of the Artificial Intelligence trade
  • Our list of all segments of the market to either Accumulate or Avoid, along with relevant ETFs
  • Positioning for the months ahead
  • Sector Reviews and Ratings
  • Stocks that have Frequently Gained in the Month of July
  • Notable Stocks and ETFs Entering their Period of Strength in July

Subscribers can look for this 110-page report in their inbox and in the report archive.

Not subscribed yet?  Signup now to receive access to this report and all of the research that we publish.

 

Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:

Constellation Brands Seasonal Chart The Greenbrier Companies Seasonal Chart MSC Seasonal Chart Unifirst Seasonal Chart Franklin Covey Seasonal Chart

 

S&P 500 Index

TSE Composite

 

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Seasonal Advantage Portfolio by CastleMoore

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