Stock Market Outlook for July 18, 2025
How to position around the trends of Retail Sales.
*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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Baru Gold Corp. (TSXV:BARU.V) Seasonal Chart
Minerva Intelligence Inc. (TSXV:MVAI.V) Seasonal Chart
Jamieson Wellness Inc. (TSE:JWEL.TO) Seasonal Chart
Snap On Inc. Holding Co. (NYSE:SNA) Seasonal Chart
Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (NYSE:VYM) Seasonal Chart
VanEck Vectors Retail ETF (NASD:RTH) Seasonal Chart
First Trust Financials AlphaDEX Fund (NYSE:FXO) Seasonal Chart
Trio-Tech Intl (AMEX:TRT) Seasonal Chart
Marathon Petroleum Corp. (NYSE:MPC) Seasonal Chart
The Markets
Stocks gained on Thursday as investors reacted positively to upbeat seasonally adjusted economic datapoints on the day, even if the underlying, non-adjusted trends are struggling. The S&P 500 Index ended up by over half of percent, trading to the upper limit of the tight short-term consolidation span between 6200 and 6300. Support at the cloud of major moving averages remains well defined, including the 20-day moving average (6185), a variable hurdle that has been unviolated throughout the bull-market rally from the April lows. Until some of the implied levels of support start to crack, this market still has the appearance of having an easier ability to excel above levels of resistance than to fail below levels of support. While overbought signals have triggered according to various metrics in recent days, this should be viewed as a sign of strength given that market participants continue to desire putting funds to work around these heights. Our list of candidates in the market that are worthy to Accumulate or Avoid continues to be appropriately positioned, keeping investors tuned into those segments of the market that are working in such areas as in the Technology, Communication Services, Financials, and Utilities sectors.
Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
- US Retail Sales and the investment implications within
- The change in retail and wholesale inventories
- Visa Spending Momentum Index
- Weekly jobless claims and the health of the labor market
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Sentiment on Thursday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bullish at 0.85.
Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
S&P 500 Index
TSE Composite
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