Stock Market Outlook for July 22, 2025
Health care not so healthy during this normally seasonally strong period, but one industry provides leeway for investment.
*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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iShares Floating Rate Index ETF (TSE:XFR.TO) Seasonal Chart
Berkshire Hathaway, Inc. (NYSE:BRK/A) Seasonal Chart
Assurant Inc. (NYSE:AIZ) Seasonal Chart
BMO S&P/TSX Equal Weight Banks Index ETF (TSE:ZEB.TO) Seasonal Chart
Northwest Bancshares, Inc. (NASD:NWBI) Seasonal Chart
Timberland Bancorp, Inc. (NASD:TSBK) Seasonal Chart
Verizon Communications (NYSE:VZ) Seasonal Chart
Teucrium Sugar Fund (NYSE:CANE) Seasonal Chart
The Markets
Stocks closed mildly higher on Monday as investors continued to brush off further threats on the tariff front. The S&P 500 Index closed higher by just over a tenth of one percent, remaining at the upper limit of the tight short-term consolidation span between 6200 and 6300; a break of the 100-point range would project a move of the same magnitude (eg. higher to 6400 or lower to 6100). The technical and seasonal backdrops provide an upside bias. Support at the cloud of major moving averages remains well defined, including the 20-day moving average (6218), a variable hurdle that has been unviolated throughout the bull-market rally from the April lows. Until some of the implied levels of support start to crack, this market still has the appearance of having an easier ability to excel above levels of resistance than to fail below levels of support. While overbought signals have triggered according to various metrics in recent days, this should be viewed as a sign of strength given that market participants continue to desire putting funds to work around these heights. Our list of candidates in the market that are worthy to Accumulate or Avoid continues to be appropriately positioned, keeping investors tuned into those segments of the market that are working in such areas as in the Technology, Communication Services, Financials, and Utilities sectors.
Want to know which areas of the market to buy or sell? Our Weekly Chart Books have just been updated, providing a clear Accumulate, Avoid, or Neutral rating for currencies, cryptocurrencies, commodities, broad markets, and subsectors/industries of the market. Subscribers can login and click on the relevant links to access.
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Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
- Our weekly chart books update, along with the list of all segments of the market to either Accumulate or Avoid
- Other notes
Subscribers can look for this report in their inbox or by clicking on the following link and logging in: Market Outlook for July 22
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Sentiment on Monday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bullish at 0.90.
Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
S&P 500 Index
TSE Composite
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