Stock Market Outlook for July 25, 2025
Meme-stock craze is broadening, elevating the price of American Eagle (AEO) at a time that is seasonally normal.
*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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Koppers Holdings Inc. (NYSE:KOP) Seasonal Chart
Tennant Co. (NYSE:TNC) Seasonal Chart
Probe Gold Inc. (TSE:PRB.TO) Seasonal Chart
The Markets
Add another tenth of a percent to the summer rally timeframe as the S&P 500 index achieves yet another record high. The large-cap benchmark closed higher by seven basis points (0.07%), continuing to move above the tight short-term consolidation span between 6200 and 6300; the break of the 100-point range projects a move of the same magnitude (eg. higher to 6400). The technical and seasonal backdrops provide an upside bias to that aforementioned threshold. Support at the cloud of major moving averages remains well defined, including the 20-day moving average (6259), a variable hurdle that has been unviolated throughout the bull-market rally from the April lows. Until some of the implied levels of support start to crack, this market still has the appearance of having an easier ability to excel above levels of resistance than to fail below levels of support. While overbought signals have triggered according to various metrics in recent days, this should be viewed as a sign of strength given that market participants continue to desire putting funds to work around these heights. Our list of candidates in the market that are worthy to Accumulate or Avoid continues to be appropriately positioned, keeping investors tuned into those segments of the market that are working in such areas as in the Technology, Communication Services, Financials, and Utilities sectors.
Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
- The expansion of the meme-stock craze to American Eagle (AEO)
- US New Home Sales
- The excess supply of new homes for sale compared to demand
- Homebuilding and Forestry stocks, along with the price of Lumber: what to Accumulate and what to be cautious of
- The significant move in initial jobless claims last week and why skepticism many be warranted
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Sentiment on Thursday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bullish at 0.89.
Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
S&P 500 Index
TSE Composite
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