Stock Market Outlook for August 15, 2025
Palladium back to its breakout point as positive seasonal tendencies look set to ramp higher through the months ahead.
*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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GraniteShares Platinum Shares ETF (AMEX:PLTM) Seasonal Chart
PDD Holdings Inc. (NASD:PDD) Seasonal Chart
Alcoa Corp. (NYSE:AA) Seasonal Chart
Blackrock Silver Corp. (TSXV:BRC.V) Seasonal Chart
Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. (NASD:COLL) Seasonal Chart
HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc. (NASD:HTBI) Seasonal Chart
Orix Corp. (NYSE:IX) Seasonal Chart
Plug Power, Inc. (NASD:PLUG) Seasonal Chart
QuinStreet Inc. (NASD:QNST) Seasonal Chart
Ross Stores, Inc. (NASD:ROST) Seasonal Chart
The Markets
Stocks wobbled on Thursday as a much hotter than expected read on producer prices had investors scrutinizing whether the prospect of rate cuts ahead is still intact. The S&P 500 Index ended higher by a mere three basis points (0.03%), still enough to punch out another fresh record closing high. Despite the new heights, there remains questions pertaining to momentum as various indicators continue to roll over from the most overbought levels since July of 2024, just prior to the volatility shock that evolved rapidly through the first week of August of last year. This is still the time of year to be on your toes given that August is upon us, a well known volatile period that sees equity markets destabilize from their summer strength; looking for opportunities to peel back risk in portfolios remains appropriate in order to mitigate the erratic moves that impacts stocks in the final months of the third quarter (August/September). The strategy remains to avoid being aggressive in risk (stocks) in the near-term, but take advantage of any volatility shocks (should they materialize) to increase the risk profile of portfolios ahead of the best six months of the year for stocks that gets underway in October. Our list of candidates in the market that are worthy to Accumulate or Avoid continues to be dialed in appropriately, keeping investors tuned into those segments of the market that are working according to our three-pronged approach incorporating seasonal, technical, and fundamental analysis.
Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
- The jump in US Producer Prices and the investment implications within
- A focus on Palladium
- Weekly Jobless Claims and the health of the labor market
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Sentiment on Thursday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended slightly bullish at 0.90.
Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
S&P 500 Index
TSE Composite
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