Stock Market Outlook for August 19, 2025
A shift in the market is materializing as upside momentum in the Technology sector wanes.
*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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Vanguard Russell 2000 Value ETF (NASD:VTWV) Seasonal Chart
Flutter Entertainment Plc (NYSE:FLUT) Seasonal Chart
BGC Group Inc (NASD:BGC) Seasonal Chart
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (NYSE:AMR) Seasonal Chart
International Game Tech (NYSE:IGT) Seasonal Chart
Materialise NV (NASD:MTLS) Seasonal Chart
Rocket Pharmaceuticals Corp. (NASD:RCKT) Seasonal Chart
XOMA Ltd. (NASD:XOMA) Seasonal Chart
Choice Hotels Intl, Inc. (NYSE:CHH) Seasonal Chart
Macerich Co. (NYSE:MAC) Seasonal Chart
Ameriprise Financial Inc. (NYSE:AMP) Seasonal Chart
Southwest Airlines Co. (NYSE:LUV) Seasonal Chart
The Markets
Stocks closed little changed on Monday as market participants monitor developments from the meeting with Ukraine and European leaders at the White House. The S&P 500 Index ended down by a mere basis point (0.01%), remaining within arm’s reach of the record closing high charted on Thursday. The 20-day moving average (6373) remains a pivotal level on the downside as a violation would suggest the start of the digestion of some of the strength achieved since the April lows. While follow-through to the downside after the threatening start to August has not been achieved, this is still the time to be on your toes given the well known volatile period that this time of year is known for. As equity markets destabilize from their summer strength, looking for opportunities to peel back risk in portfolios has become appropriate in order to mitigate the erratic moves that impacts stocks in the final months of the third quarter (August/September). The strategy remains to avoid being aggressive in risk (stocks) in the near-term, but take advantage of any volatility shocks (should they materialize) to increase the risk profile of portfolios ahead of the best six months of the year for stocks that gets underway in October. Our list of candidates in the market that are worthy to Accumulate or Avoid continues to be dialed in appropriately, keeping investors tuned into those segments of the market that are working according to our three-pronged approach incorporating seasonal, technical, and fundamental analysis.
Want to know which areas of the market to buy or sell? Our Weekly Chart Books have just been updated, providing a clear Accumulate, Avoid, or Neutral rating for currencies, cryptocurrencies, commodities, broad markets, and subsectors/industries of the market. Subscribers can login and click on the relevant links to access.
- Currencies
- Cryptocurrencies
- Commodities
- Major Benchmarks
- Sub-sectors / Industries
- ETFs: Bonds | Commodities | Equity Markets | Industries | Sectors
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Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
- Our weekly chart books update, along with our list of all segments of the market to either Accumulate or Avoid
- Other Notes
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Sentiment on Monday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bullish at 0.81.
Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
S&P 500 Index
TSE Composite
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