Stock Market Outlook for September 19, 2025
There are key themes enduring in the market/economy that demand focus in portfolios and the Artificial Intelligence (AI) build-out is one of them.
*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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California Water Services Group (NYSE:CWT) Seasonal Chart
Dime Community Bancshares, Inc. (NASD:DCOM) Seasonal Chart
Matthews International Corporation (NASD:MATW) Seasonal Chart
Dolby Laboratories (NYSE:DLB) Seasonal Chart
VanEck Vectors Video Gaming and eSports ETF (AMEX:ESPO) Seasonal Chart
First Trust Dow Jones International Internet ETF (NASD:FDNI) Seasonal Chart
Allegiant Travel Co. (NASD:ALGT) Seasonal Chart
Genesco, Inc. (NYSE:GCO) Seasonal Chart
MicroStrategy Inc. (NASD:MSTR) Seasonal Chart
PBF Energy Inc. (NYSE:PBF) Seasonal Chart
FlexShares US Quality Large Cap ETF (NASD:QLC) Seasonal Chart
Amalgamated Bank (NASD:AMAL) Seasonal Chart
The Markets
Another push into technology stocks saw the S&P 500 Index reach new heights on Thursday. The S&P 500 Index ended up by just less than half of one percent, continuing to hold above the 20-day moving average (~6510), the variable hurdle that has supported the short-term trend off of the April lows. The weakest, most volatile, period for the equity market is directly ahead, running through the last couple of weeks of the month (the first half of September is normally positive), leaving us with a cautious bias pertaining to broad equity exposure in the very near-term. The strategy remains to avoid being aggressive in risk (stocks) for now (over the next few weeks), but take advantage of any volatility shocks (should they materialize) to increase the risk profile of portfolios ahead of the best six months of the year for stocks that gets underway in October. We have picked our spots in the market to which we want to be exposed in our list of candidates in the market that are worthy to Accumulate or Avoid and the performance continues to be exceptional. Those themes that are enduring according to our three-pronged approach incorporating seasonal, technical, and fundamental analysis keeps us focused and we are not concerned, at all, if the broad market weakness that is normal of September fails to materialize.
Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
- The start of the weakest, most volatile, time of year for stocks
- The impact on portfolios from just side-stepping the period ahead
- US Industrial Production and the investment implications within
- Mixed manufacturer sentiment
- Weekly Jobless Claims and the health of the labor market
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Sentiment on Thursday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bullish at 0.77.
Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
- No significant earnings scheduled for today.
S&P 500 Index
TSE Composite
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