Stock Market Outlook for January 14, 2026
The commodity market is revealing the type of price action that we would expect for this time of year. We dive into how to play this seasonal theme and where to position.
*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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Crown Holdings Inc. (NYSE:CCK) Seasonal Chart
iShares Canadian Growth Index ETF (TSE:XCG.TO) Seasonal Chart
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (TSE:WPM.TO) Seasonal Chart
Black Diamond Group Ltd. (TSE:BDI.TO) Seasonal Chart
Kingsmen Resource Ltd. (TSXV:KNG.V) Seasonal Chart
Steven Madden, Ltd. (NASD:SHOO) Seasonal Chart
VeriSign, Inc. (NASD:VRSN) Seasonal Chart
Disclaimer: Comments and opinions offered in this report are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed.
The Markets
Stocks drifted slightly lower on Tuesday as scrutiny over financial sector stocks remains high following recent comments from the president and the onset of bank earnings season. The large-cap benchmark closed down by just less than two-tenths of one percent, remaining above horizontal resistance presented by the prior 52-week closing highs around 6900. End of October gap resistance continues to form new found support around 6830 and, until it is broken, playing on the long-side of this market remains appropriate. A narrowing range remains highlighted on the short-term chart and we continue to see reaction to the upper limit of this pattern; the lower limit can be pegged around 6920, presenting a near-term downside risk level. Ultimately, however, the narrowing span points to a culmination around the 7000 level, a psychologically important level that is presently acting as a draw. In the Seasonal Advantage Portfolio that we oversee at Castlemoore, we remain fully invested in the equity market and the themes in our chart books to either Accumulate or Avoid have been capturing the strength that has leached into the market from the November 20th lows.
Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
- Market & Technical Backdrop
- Risk Tone & Defensive Rotation
- Inflation & Fed Implications
- Energy, Commodities & Inflation Hedges
- Food, Agriculture & Consumer Pressures
- Housing, Rates & Interest-Sensitive Groups
- Auto parts & Pricing Power
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Sentiment on Tuesday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bullish at 0.88.
Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
S&P 500 Index
TSE Composite
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