Stock Market Outlook for February 27, 2026

The seasonal trade in Natural Gas is on the horizon: We take a look at its prospects through the months ahead and how to gain exposure.
*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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AES Corp. (NYSE:AES) Seasonal Chart
Euroseas, Ltd. (NASD:ESEA) Seasonal Chart
Artemis Gold Inc. (TSXV:ARTG.V) Seasonal Chart
K92 Mining Inc. (TSE:KNT.TO) Seasonal Chart
Agnico-Eagle Mines Ltd. (TSE:AEM.TO) Seasonal Chart
Dycom Industries, Inc. (NYSE:DY) Seasonal Chart
TC Energy Corp. (NYSE:TRP) Seasonal Chart
Harvest Global Gold Giants Index ETF (TSE:HGGG.TO) Seasonal Chart
Brookfield Infrastructure Corp (NYSE:BIPC) Seasonal Chart
Disclaimer: Comments and opinions offered in this report are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed.
The Markets
Stocks closed lower on Thursday as profit-taking in Nvidia (NVDA) following earnings weighed on tech-heavy benchmarks that were attempting to show new life in just the session prior. End of month portfolio rebalancing was also a significant influence in the price action in this second to last session of February. The large-cap benchmark ended with a loss of just over half of one percent, closing the gap around the important 6900 pivot point that we have highlighted in our reporting; a failure around this zone would increase the likelihood of a downside resolution to our target of 6730, or the mid-December lows, during this normally weak timeframe in the equity market. While the short-term trend of the market is flat, capped by resistance at 7,000 and supported by levels around 6,780, an ultra-short-term view is showing higher-highs and higher-lows over the past week and a half. There is a suggestion of a flagging pattern as investors just meander around the flat-line (6900), not wanting to make the big swings above and below the mid-point level to the prevailing range. Traders are looking for a catalyst and, for now, Nvidia earnings do not appear to be providing an upside boost. So far, the period of volatility in equity markets that runs between the middle of February and early March has not amounted to much, highlighting resilience as prices trade sideways. In the Seasonal Advantage Portfolio that we manage for clients at CastleMoore, we continue to balance the near-term risk-reward in the market appropriately, barbelling low volatility plays with pro-cyclical/commodity oriented bets. Themes in our chart books to either Accumulate or Avoid continue to be appropriately dialed in to the trends that are working and intact.
Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
- Market & Technical Setup
- Month-End & Mean Reversion Dynamics
- Leverage Risk Building
- Natural Gas Seasonal Setup
- Energy & Portfolio Strategy
- Economic Backdrop – No Stress Signals
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Sentiment on Thursday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bullish at 0.84.
Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:






















S&P 500 Index
TSE Composite
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