Stock Market Outlook for September 1, 2026
Latching on to this other energy commodity heading into its period of seasonal strength.
*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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Fidelity International High Dividend ETF (AMEX:FIDI) Seasonal Chart
WBI Power Factor High Dividend ETF (AMEX:WBIY) Seasonal Chart
SPDR S&P 500 High Dividend ETF (AMEX:SPYD) Seasonal Chart
Cematrix Corp. (TSE:CEMX.TO) Seasonal Chart
Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF (NYSE:MGV) Seasonal Chart
Global X S&P 500 Quality Dividend ETF (AMEX:QDIV) Seasonal Chart
Disclaimer: Comments and opinions offered in this report are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed.
The Markets
Stocks ended mixed on Monday as investors closed the books on a profitable month for major market benchmarks. The S&P 500 Index shed a third of one percent, still holding above the upper limit of the prior consolidation span between 7250 and 7620 that the benchmark broke out from at the start of August. A short-term bull-flag pattern continues to be charted, suggesting further upside to be expected. The benchmark can be seen holding around short-term support at its 20-day moving average (7716), keeping the ball in the bulls court heading into the month of September. The market is showing a lot of respect to levels of support, warranting a bullish tilt heading into what is often a volatile period for equity performance in the month of September. Daily momentum indicators have started to curl higher around their middle lines, retaining characteristics of a bullish trend. In the Seasonal Advantage Portfolio that we manage for clients at CastleMoore, we continue to hold an elevated exposure to stocks, aligning with the optimism that the manufacturing economy is expressing. The period of volatility in the equity market through the weeks ahead could start to impose some erratic results, but there is some leeway on the calendar before the peak period of weakness rolls around starting in the middle of September. Subscribers can view what we are targeting in our list of market segments to either Accumulate or Avoid.
Want to know which areas of the market to buy or sell? Our Weekly Chart Books have just been updated, providing a clear Accumulate, Avoid, or Neutral rating for currencies, cryptocurrencies, commodities, broad markets, and subsectors/industries of the market. Subscribers can login and click on the relevant links to access.
- Currencies
- Cryptocurrencies
- Commodities
- Major Benchmarks
- Sub-sectors / Industries
- ETFs: Bonds | Commodities | Equity Markets | Industries | Sectors
Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
- Monthly technicals of the S&P 500
- Our weekly chart books update, along with our list of all segments of the market to either Accumulate or Avoid
- Other Notes
Subscribers can look for this report in their inbox or by clicking on the following link and logging in: Market Outlook for September 1
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Sentiment on Monday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bullish at 0.83.
Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
S&P 500 Index
TSE Composite
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