Stock Market Outlook for October 22, 2026

Consumers look set to rely heavily on credit this holiday shopping season, providing a tailwind to consumer finance stocks.
*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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Stock Highlight: |
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Salesforce.com, Inc. (NYSE:CRM) Seasonal Chart |
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Roundhill BITKRAFT Esports & Digital Entertainment ETF (AMEX:NERD) Seasonal Chart
Snap Inc. (NYSE:SNAP) Seasonal Chart
Enerflex Ltd. (NYSE:EFXT) Seasonal Chart
Invesco S&P MidCap 400 Pure Growth ETF (NYSE:RFG) Seasonal Chart
Open Text Corp. (NASD:OTEX) Seasonal Chart
Celestica, Inc. (NYSE:CLS) Seasonal Chart
Innospec, Inc. (NASD:IOSP) Seasonal Chart
Disclaimer: Comments and opinions offered in this report are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed.
The Markets
Optimism following the release of earnings from SpaceX (SPCX) helped to get the Technology sector off the floor on Wednesday, adding a bid to the broader market in the process. The S&P 500 Index gained six-tenths of one percent, working its way back to the upper limit of the range that the benchmark has been in since August between 7620 and 7800; any reaction to this upper limit will be heavily scrutinized. On Friday, the index broke below short-term rising trend channel support that had promoted the recent path of higher-highs and higher-lows in the past month. The benchmark is struggling around 20 and 50-day moving averages and the 100-day moving average remains a critical line in the sand. Weakening support raises concerns for the health of stocks moving forward. The market has reached the time of year when volatility starts to peak and roll over through the last couple of months of the year, thereby promoting strength in stocks, but the breakout in the VIX on Friday above declining trendline resistance provides the inkling that the instability that is leaching into the market may just be getting started. As noted in this week’s chart books, there are segments following last week’s price action that we no longer want to be exposed to, but the market has provided rotation opportunities that allow us to maintain our overall equity exposure. Members can stay on top of our thinking and what we are watching in our regular reports, as well as view what we are targeting in our list of market segments to either Accumulate or Avoid.
Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
- Scrutinizing the price action in the Technology sector
- Consumer Spending Momentum and Consumer Finance stocks
- Our lone Accumulate candidate in the Consumer Discretionary sector
- The clouded view that metrics of oil supplies and demand is providing
- The opportunity should Oil prices decline
- Additional Thoughts
Subscribers can look for this report in their inbox or by clicking on the following link and logging in: Market Outlook for October 22
Sentiment on Wednesday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bullish at 0.86.
Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:

















































S&P 500 Index
TSE Composite
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