Stock Market Outlook for February 28, 2023

Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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SunLink Health Systems, Inc. (AMEX:SSY) Seasonal Chart

Golden Matrix Group Inc (NASD:GMGI) Seasonal Chart

PepsiCo, Inc. (NASD:PEP) Seasonal Chart

ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas (NYSE:BOIL) Seasonal Chart

TC Energy Corp. (NYSE:TRP) Seasonal Chart

Lifetime Brands, Inc. (NASD:LCUT) Seasonal Chart

Sanofi SA (NASD:SNY) Seasonal Chart

Rogers Communications, Inc. (TSE:RCI/B.TO) Seasonal Chart
The Markets
Stocks achieved minor gains in the second to last session of February as a reprieve in the rising trajectory of yields and the dollar alleviated selling pressures in the equity market. The S&P 500 Index closed higher by just over three-tenths of one percent, bouncing from the 200-day moving average that was tested on Friday. Levels above the rising 50-day moving average have been retaken. A confluence of support presented by major moving averages can be seen within the range between 3900 and 4000 and so far this is zone continues to hold. It would take a break of this span to suggest a more dire path for the market than merely a range-bound span, generally between 3800 and 4200. Momentum indicators remain on a sell signal following the bearish MACD crossover that was charted a couple of weeks ago. Altogether, there is nothing particularly enticing of the technicals to be aggressive on either side of the spectrum, bullish or bearish, but we suspect that at some point in the days/weeks ahead, the desire will be present to look to take on greater risk (stocks) in portfolios given the positive tendency that is average between the middle of March through to the middle of April, resulting in one of the strongest timeframes of the year for the market before the offseason for stocks begins in May. Further weakness attributed to this rollover in prices that began early in February could lead to ideal buying opportunities for the spring ramp in prices ahead.
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Sentiment on Monday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bearish at 1.04.Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
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- Ratings changes in this week’s chart books: Find out which groups we have downgraded to Avoid and what commodity has warranted a view to Accumulate
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