Stock Market Outlook for July 16, 2025
How to position around June’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report.
*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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Red Violet, Inc. (NASD:RDVT) Seasonal Chart
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (NYSE:MGY) Seasonal Chart
Mid Penn Bancorp (NASD:MPB) Seasonal Chart
Tetra Tech Inc. (NASD:TTEK) Seasonal Chart
Tennessee Valley Authorit (NYSE:TVE) Seasonal Chart
Bank of Marin (NASD:BMRC) Seasonal Chart
ICF International Inc. (NASD:ICFI) Seasonal Chart
EVI Industries, Inc. (AMEX:EVI) Seasonal Chart
Exchange Income Corp. (TSE:EIF.TO) Seasonal Chart
iShares Equal Weight Banc & Lifeco ETF (TSE:CEW.TO) Seasonal Chart
Under Armour, Inc. (NYSE:UAA) Seasonal Chart
The Markets
Stocks slipped on Tuesday as a rise in the US Dollar and interest rates following a perk up in inflationary pressures for June weighed on equity prices. The S&P 500 Index ended lower by four-tenths of one percent, remaining in a tight short-term consolidation span between 6200 and 6300. Support at the cloud of major moving averages remains well defined, including the 20-day moving average (6158), a variable hurdle that has been unviolated throughout the bull-market rally from the April lows. Until some of the implied levels of support start to crack, this market still has the appearance of having an easier ability to excel above levels of resistance than to fail below levels of support. While overbought signals have triggered according to various metrics in recent days, this should be viewed as a sign of strength given that market participants continue to desire putting funds to work around these heights. Our list of candidates in the market that are worthy to Accumulate or Avoid continues to be appropriately positioned, keeping investors tuned into those segments of the market that are working in such areas as in the Technology, Communication Services, Financials, and Utilities sectors.
Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
- US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the investment implications within
- The bond market and how to position at this normally strong time of year
Subscribers can look for this report in their inbox or by clicking on the following link and logging in: Market Outlook for July 16
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Sentiment on Tuesday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bullish at 0.81.
Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
S&P 500 Index
TSE Composite
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