Stock Market Outlook for December 2, 2025
Post Thanksgiving week digestion continues to align with our seasonal playbook of how stocks should perform through year-end.
*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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Research Solutions, Inc. (NASD:RSSS) Seasonal Chart
iShares Edge MSCI Min Vol Emerging Markets Index ETF (TSE:XMM.TO) Seasonal Chart
POET Technologies Inc. (NASD:POET) Seasonal Chart
SPDR S&P Emerging Markets Dividend ETF (NYSE:EDIV) Seasonal Chart
Micron Technology, Inc. (NASD:MU) Seasonal Chart
Rayonier, Inc. (NYSE:RYN) Seasonal Chart
iShares MSCI International Developed Momentum Factor ETF (AMEX:IMTM) Seasonal Chart
The Markets
Following the second strongest Thanksgiving week performance for stocks in the past six decades, traders took a breather on Monday as they monitored developments pertaining to the unwind of the Yen carry trade that had been supportive of equity markets previous. The S&P 500 Index shed 0.53%, essentially just giving back the gain that was recorded during the holiday shortened session on Friday. Signs of struggle at the gap that was originally opened on October 27th around 6830 can be seen. Previous gap resistance at 6770 will be looked to as support. The market has been proving that it is no longer showing greater respect to levels of resistance than to levels of support, at least on an ultra-short-term timescale, but the hurdles overhead are major nuts to crack and require broader participation to definitively break. The major threshold on the upside to scrutinize is, quite obviously, the all-time high at 6920 that was charted at the end of October. The bears continue to contend with positive seasonality for this time of year with gains the norm for market benchmarks in December, but a softer period on the calendar through the first half of December following the strong end of November performance would be reasonable to fuel digestion of recent strength. As we have been emphasizing, the 20-week moving average (now around 6600) has been the desired risk-reward point to adding new risk exposure to portfolios and the large-cap benchmark tested this point a week ago Thursday. So far, everything is playing out well according to our playbook and our list of candidates in the market that are worthy to Accumulate or Avoid continues to provide ideas on how to position in this market that has become fairly volatile in recent weeks.
Want to know which areas of the market to buy or sell? Our Weekly Chart Books have just been updated, providing a clear Accumulate, Avoid, or Neutral rating for currencies, cryptocurrencies, commodities, broad markets, and subsectors/industries of the market. Subscribers can login and click on the relevant links to access.
- Currencies
- Cryptocurrencies
- Commodities
- Major Benchmarks
- Sub-sectors / Industries
- ETFs: Bonds | Commodities | Equity Markets | Industries | Sectors
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Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
- Our weekly chart books update, along with the list of all segments of the market to either Accumulate or Avoid
- Other Notes
Subscribers can look for this report in their inbox or by clicking on the following link and logging in: Market Outlook for December 2
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Sentiment on Monday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended slightly bullish at 0.91.
Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
S&P 500 Index
TSE Composite
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