Stock Market Outlook for February 27, 2023

Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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Willis Towers Watson Public Ltd. Co. (NASD:WTW) Seasonal Chart

VictoryShares US Multi-Factor Minimum Volatility ETF (NASD:VSMV) Seasonal Chart

Hartford Total Return Bond ETF (AMEX:HTRB) Seasonal Chart

American Fncl Group, Inc. (NYSE:AFG) Seasonal Chart

UGI Corp Holding Co. (NYSE:UGI) Seasonal Chart

CenterPoint Energy, Inc. (NYSE:CNP) Seasonal Chart

Kraft Heinz Co. (NASD:KHC) Seasonal Chart

Rogers Communications, Inc. (NYSE:RCI) Seasonal Chart

iShares MSCI World ETF (AMEX:URTH) Seasonal Chart
The Markets
Stocks faltered in the final session of the trading week as an often relied upon gauge of inflation by the US Fed showed that pricing pressures reasserted themselves at the start of this year. The S&P 500 Index ended with a loss of 1.05%, closing below its rising 50-day moving average and reaching down to recently broken resistance at its 200-day. As has been highlighted in recent reports, a confluence of support presented by major moving averages in the range of 3900 to 4000 remains in a position to backstop this market and it would take a move below this zone to suggest something increasingly dire for the direction of stocks in the near-term. Momentum indicators remain on a sell signal following the bearish crossover of MACD and its signal line two weeks ago. The market continues to show a lot of respect to seasonal norms and the present period of average weakness typically finds a low around the first half of March, which we are now just days away from. Until then, respect the pullback and be on the lookout for opportunities to take on more risk in portfolios for the spring ramp in equity prices that is normal starting from around the middle of March and peaking around the middle of April.
Sentiment on Friday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bearish at 1.11.Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
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- Weekly look at the large-cap benchmark
- Rise in the dollar and rise in yields, bearish for stocks
- US New Home Sales
- The start of the optimal holding period for All Country World ex-US Index
- Margin Debt in investment accounts and what it has to say about how aggressive investors have been in the equity market























S&P 500 Index


TSE Composite


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