Equity Clock

October 28th Stock Market Entry Point

Thackray’s 2011 Investor’s Guide notes that October 28^th on average during the past 60 years is the optimal date to enter North American equity markets for a seasonal trade until May 5^th. His book notes that a $10,000 investment in the S&P 500 during the past 60 periods starting on October 28^th 1950 and ending May 5^th 2010 resulted in a portfolio valued at $924,470. In contrast, a $10,000 investment in the S&P 500 from May 6^th to October 27^th during the past 60 period resulted in a portfolio valued at $6,727. A $10,000 investment in the TSX Composite Index during the past 33 periods from October 28^th to May 5^th resulted in a portfolio valued at $187,526 whereas a $10,000 investment during the past 33 periods from May 6^th to October 27^th resulted in a portfolio valued at $6,307.

Important! These dates are average optimal dates for entry and exit over long periods of time. Actual optimal date each year is based on technical analysis and can vary by as much as four weeks. North American equity indices and related sector indices currently are overbought and their momentum indicators are showing early signs of peaking/rolling over. The optimal date for equity indices will be later than October 28^th this year. The charts will let us know the timing. Stay tuned.

Following is a list of optimal entry dates for the seasonal trade in North American equity markets during the past nine years:

Year Date

2001 November 1^st

2002 October 10^th

2003 October 27^th

2004 October 26^th

2005 October 14^th

2006 November 6^th

2007 November 27^th

2008 October 27^th

2009 November 5^th

Sponsored By...