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Stock Market Outlook for April 16, 2025

A number of traditional buy signals for stocks have been triggered.

Real Time Economic Calendar provided by Investing.com.

 

 

*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.

Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:

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Summit State Bank (NASD:SSBI) Seasonal Chart

Summit State Bank (NASD:SSBI) Seasonal Chart

MetroCity Bankshares Inc (NASD:MCBS) Seasonal Chart

MetroCity Bankshares Inc (NASD:MCBS) Seasonal Chart

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (NASD:ASTS) Seasonal Chart

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (NASD:ASTS) Seasonal Chart

Uxin Ltd (NASD:UXIN) Seasonal Chart

Uxin Ltd (NASD:UXIN) Seasonal Chart

TransUnion.com (NYSE:TRU) Seasonal Chart

TransUnion.com (NYSE:TRU) Seasonal Chart

Baidu, Inc. (NASD:BIDU) Seasonal Chart

Baidu, Inc. (NASD:BIDU) Seasonal Chart

Upland Software Inc. (NASD:UPLD) Seasonal Chart

Upland Software Inc. (NASD:UPLD) Seasonal Chart

Ally Financial Inc. (NYSE:ALLY) Seasonal Chart

Ally Financial Inc. (NYSE:ALLY) Seasonal Chart

Maiden Holdings North America, Ltd. (NYSE:MHNC) Seasonal Chart

Maiden Holdings North America, Ltd. (NYSE:MHNC) Seasonal Chart

Agilysys Inc. (NASD:AGYS) Seasonal Chart

Agilysys Inc. (NASD:AGYS) Seasonal Chart

Core Molding Technologies, Inc. (AMEX:CMT) Seasonal Chart

Core Molding Technologies, Inc. (AMEX:CMT) Seasonal Chart

Accelr8 Technology (NASD:AXDX) Seasonal Chart

Accelr8 Technology (NASD:AXDX) Seasonal Chart

 

 

The Markets

Stocks wobbled around the flat-line on Tuesday, struggling to make further progress in moving above the highs set last week.  The S&P 500 Index ended lower by just less than two-tenths of one percent, holding just below the pre-tariff announcement lows around 5500.  There is a cap over this market in the range between 5500 and 5800 that would likely require a catalyst to break; without one, look for the sellers to step in around this zone.  As has been pointed out, the benchmark remains in a precarious state heading into the second quarter, holding levels below the 200-day moving average, a variable hurdle that is now rolling over and providing a characteristic of an intermediate to long-term bearish trend.  Unfortunately, this technical degradation in the market has come during this period of seasonal strength that runs through the month of April, therefore we are biased to let this favourable timeframe show what it is capable of before taking action; the more likely time that the next evolution of the declining intermediate-to-long-term trend for stocks should occur is through the off-season that starts in May.  We continue to leave our Super Simple Seasonal Portfolio as is, but we are cognizant of the need to do something ahead to mitigate the threat that the intermediate-term trend is portraying.  We continue to monitor the potential impact of the rotation in the market on our list of candidates in the market to Accumulate and to Avoid, but we have been finding things to buy amidst this market tumult.

Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:

  • The Buy signals for stocks that have been triggered
  • Canada Manufacturing Sales and what is driving the aggregate result
  • Canadian Dollar
  • Canada Consumer Price Index, the moderation of shelter prices, and further evidence of consumers deterring vacation plans

Subscribers can look for this report in their inbox or by clicking on the following link and logging in: Market Outlook for April 16

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Sentiment on Tuesday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bearish at 1.03.

 

Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:

Kinder Morgan Seasonal Chart Abbott Laboratories Seasonal Chart CSX Seasonal Chart Alcoa Seasonal Chart U.S. Bancorp Seasonal Chart Citizens Financial Group Seasonal Chart The Travelers Companies Seasonal Chart ASML Holding Seasonal Chart Martin Midstream Partners Seasonal Chart Movado Group Seasonal Chart Prologis Seasonal Chart Synovus Financial Seasonal Chart F.N.B. Seasonal Chart Wipro Limited Seasonal Chart First Horizon Seasonal Chart Rexford Industrial Realty Seasonal Chart Autoliv Seasonal Chart First Industrial Realty Trust Seasonal Chart Cohen & Steers Seasonal Chart SL Green Realty Seasonal Chart Simmons First National Seasonal Chart Banner Seasonal Chart Liberty Energy Seasonal Chart WidePoint Seasonal Chart

 

S&P 500 Index

 

TSE Composite

 

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