Stock Market Outlook for July 27, 2026

The pullback in Tech stocks makes their valuations increasingly compelling.
*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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Stock Highlight: |
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Fortis, Inc. (TSE:FTS.TO) Seasonal Chart |
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SPDR S&P 1500 Value Tilt ETF (AMEX:VLU) Seasonal Chart
Ubiquiti Inc. (NYSE:UI) Seasonal Chart
Titan Mining Corp. (TSE:TI.TO) Seasonal Chart
Teucrium Sugar Fund (NYSE:CANE) Seasonal Chart
The Bank of Nova Scotia (TSE:BNS.TO) Seasonal Chart
BMO Equal Weight Industrials Index ETF (TSE:ZIN.TO) Seasonal Chart
Cenovus Energy Inc. (TSE:CVE.TO) Seasonal Chart
Expedia, Inc (NASD:EXPE) Seasonal Chart
Ascendis Pharma A/S (NASD:ASND) Seasonal Chart
Global X Nasdaq 100 Covered Call ETF (NASD:QYLD) Seasonal Chart
Vistra Energy Corp. (NYSE:VST) Seasonal Chart
Universal Insurance Holdings Inc. (NYSE:UVE) Seasonal Chart
American Fncl Group, Inc. (NYSE:AFG) Seasonal Chart
SIFCO Industries, Inc. (AMEX:SIF) Seasonal Chart
Disclaimer: Comments and opinions offered in this report are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed.
The Markets
Continued selling pressures stemming from the technology sector kept broad market benchmarks capped to close out the week. The S&P 500 Index was essentially unchanged, remaining below the lower limit of the short-term trading range between 7425 and 7550. An attempt to fill Thursday’s downside gap between 7450 and 7500 failed to amount to much. The resolution of the prevailing trading range proposes a move of 125-points in the direction of break, or to 7300. While we have to adopt this downbeat target as the base case, we have seen a false break of the span before (albeit to the upside) that ultimately reversed. The weight of the escalating conflict between the US and Iran may be too burdensome this time around. Support on the daily chart has been broken around 20 and 50-day moving averages (~7471), which have converged on one another in a bearish manner. Daily momentum indicators have rolled over in recent days with MACD triggering a fresh sell signal, now aligning with the end of the summer rally period that came to an end on July 17th. In the Seasonal Advantage Portfolio that we manage for clients at CastleMoore, we have not made any changes in our allocations, yet. Following a first half performance in the Seasonal Advantage Portfolio that was well ahead of our own benchmark (as well as all major equity benchmarks in the market), we still have a bias to expect strength for the start of the second half of the year, aligning with the optimism that the manufacturing economy expressing, but we are scrutinizing the risks that have abruptly escalated with the increase in geopolitical tensions. We continue to view earnings season as providing some cover to the headline threats. Subscribers can view what we are targeting in our list of market segments to either Accumulate or Avoid.
Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:
- Weekly look at the large-cap benchmark
- Market Valuations and the trend of Earnings Per Share Expectations
- Economic Surprise Index
- US New Home Sales and the change in the Median Price of New Homes Sold
- Housing Stocks
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Sentiment on Friday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended close to neutral at 0.97.
Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:







































S&P 500 Index
TSE Composite
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