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Stock Market Outlook for December 11, 2024

Post-election year tendencies suggest that we could see a stronger than average appreciation in the US Dollar early in 2025, threatening to pressure risk assets in January and February.

Real Time Economic Calendar provided by Investing.com.

 

 

*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.

Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:

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Blue Ribbon Income Fund (TSE:RBN/UN.TO) Seasonal Chart

Blue Ribbon Income Fund (TSE:RBN/UN.TO) Seasonal Chart

Geodrill Ltd. (TSE:GEO.TO) Seasonal Chart

Geodrill Ltd. (TSE:GEO.TO) Seasonal Chart

New Pacific Metals Corp. (AMEX:NEWP) Seasonal Chart

New Pacific Metals Corp. (AMEX:NEWP) Seasonal Chart

Tortoise Energy Infrastructure Corp. (NYSE:TYG) Seasonal Chart

Tortoise Energy Infrastructure Corp. (NYSE:TYG) Seasonal Chart

Gold Terra Resource Corp (TSXV:YGT.V) Seasonal Chart

Gold Terra Resource Corp (TSXV:YGT.V) Seasonal Chart

Optical Cable Corp. (NASD:OCC) Seasonal Chart

Optical Cable Corp. (NASD:OCC) Seasonal Chart

SPDR S&P Pharmaceuticals ETF (NYSE:XPH) Seasonal Chart

SPDR S&P Pharmaceuticals ETF (NYSE:XPH) Seasonal Chart

SPDR S&P Emerging Markets ETF (AMEX:SPEM) Seasonal Chart

SPDR S&P Emerging Markets ETF (AMEX:SPEM) Seasonal Chart

Source Capital, Inc. (NYSE:SOR) Seasonal Chart

Source Capital, Inc. (NYSE:SOR) Seasonal Chart

Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Energy ETF (NYSE:RSPG) Seasonal Chart

Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Energy ETF (NYSE:RSPG) Seasonal Chart

Kelso Technologies, Inc. (TSE:KLS.TO) Seasonal Chart

Kelso Technologies, Inc. (TSE:KLS.TO) Seasonal Chart

Colliers International Group Inc. (TSE:CIG.TO) Seasonal Chart

Colliers International Group Inc. (TSE:CIG.TO) Seasonal Chart

Berry Petroleum Corp. (NASD:BRY) Seasonal Chart

Berry Petroleum Corp. (NASD:BRY) Seasonal Chart

Empire Petroleum Corp. (AMEX:EP) Seasonal Chart

Empire Petroleum Corp. (AMEX:EP) Seasonal Chart

Currency Exchange Intl, Corp. (TSE:CXI.TO) Seasonal Chart

Currency Exchange Intl, Corp. (TSE:CXI.TO) Seasonal Chart

Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (TSE:ASM.TO) Seasonal Chart

Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (TSE:ASM.TO) Seasonal Chart

Rockwell Medical Technologies, Inc. (NASD:RMTI) Seasonal Chart

Rockwell Medical Technologies, Inc. (NASD:RMTI) Seasonal Chart

America's Car-Mart, Inc. (NASD:CRMT) Seasonal Chart

America’s Car-Mart, Inc. (NASD:CRMT) Seasonal Chart

Ambev SA (NYSE:ABEV) Seasonal Chart

Ambev SA (NYSE:ABEV) Seasonal Chart

Sienna Senior Living Inc. (TSE:SIA.TO) Seasonal Chart

Sienna Senior Living Inc. (TSE:SIA.TO) Seasonal Chart

Bonterra Energy Corp. (TSE:BNE.TO) Seasonal Chart

Bonterra Energy Corp. (TSE:BNE.TO) Seasonal Chart

BMO Equal Weight REITs Index ETF (TSE:ZRE.TO) Seasonal Chart

BMO Equal Weight REITs Index ETF (TSE:ZRE.TO) Seasonal Chart

Surge Energy Inc. (TSE:SGY.TO) Seasonal Chart

Surge Energy Inc. (TSE:SGY.TO) Seasonal Chart

Whitecap Resources Inc. (TSE:WCP.TO) Seasonal Chart

Whitecap Resources Inc. (TSE:WCP.TO) Seasonal Chart

iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index ETF (TSE:XEG.to) Seasonal Chart

iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index ETF (TSE:XEG.to) Seasonal Chart

iShares North American Natural Resources ETF (NYSE:IGE) Seasonal Chart

iShares North American Natural Resources ETF (NYSE:IGE) Seasonal Chart

iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (NYSE:IEO) Seasonal Chart

iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (NYSE:IEO) Seasonal Chart

Pason Systems, Inc. (TSE:PSI.TO) Seasonal Chart

Pason Systems, Inc. (TSE:PSI.TO) Seasonal Chart

BMO China Equity Index ETF (TSE:ZCH.TO) Seasonal Chart

BMO China Equity Index ETF (TSE:ZCH.TO) Seasonal Chart

iShares S&P/TSX Canadian Preferred Share Index ETF (TSE:CPD.TO) Seasonal Chart

iShares S&P/TSX Canadian Preferred Share Index ETF (TSE:CPD.TO) Seasonal Chart

 

The Markets

Stocks continued to drift lower into the Tuesday session as end-of-year  portfolio transactions are conducted before the distractions surrounding the holidays begin.  The S&P 500 Index shed three-tenths of one percent, pulling back from the record closing high charted on Friday.  Support is being encroached upon at the 20-day moving average (5995).  The benchmark has now moved below the gap that was charted last week between 6051 and 6065 and focus is now appropriate on levels surrounding the psychologically important 6000 level.  While not definitive that the short-term trajectory of the benchmark has shifted (unlikely ahead of the Santa Claus rally period), the benchmark is moving below rising trendline support that stems from the November 19th low.  On a intermediate-term basis, there remains greater evidence of support than resistance, presenting the desired backdrop for strength that is normally realized in the market at year-end.  Major moving averages are all pointed higher and momentum indicators continue to gyrate above their middle lines, providing characteristics of a bullish trend.  Our list of candidates in the market to Accumulate and to Avoid remains well positioned to benefit from the strength that is filtering into the market at this seasonally strong time of year, but we will scrutinize whether any changes are required as the price action evolves.

Today, in our Market Outlook to subscribers, we discuss the following:

  • The ongoing trend of underperformance of the Equal Weight S&P 500 Index versus its capitalization weighted counterpart
  • US Dollar Index holding below horizontal resistance at 107 progressing through this seasonally negative time of year for the currency
  • Tendencies for the Dollar and Gold during the Post Election years
  • The seasonal trade in precious metals and their miners

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Sentiment 0n Tuesday, as gauged by the put-call ratio, ended bullish at 0.85.

 

 

Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:

Adobe Seasonal Chart Champions Oncology Seasonal Chart Photronics Seasonal Chart Nordson Seasonal Chart REV Group Seasonal Chart Oxford Industries Seasonal Chart Vera Bradley Seasonal Chart Kewaunee Scientific Seasonal Chart

 

S&P 500 Index

 

TSE Composite

 

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